Nato chief seeks support for Karzai

Move part of new concerns that war will be lost without popular backing for the current administration

Amid a deepening divide in Washington over whether to send more troops to Afghanistan, the US military commander in Kabul, General Stanley McChrystal, has launched a new counterinsurgency strategy aimed at bolstering support for the Afghan government amid a growing recognition that the war will be lost without popular backing for the administration.

McChrystal is pulling back forces from thinly-populated outlying areas where some of the most intense fighting against the Taliban has taken place and is deploying them to defend major population centres from the Taliban. US military and political strategy is increasingly focused on how to legitimise President Hamid Karzai’s government.

President Obama is holding off from committing more troops to Afghanistan amid wrangling between the military and politicians, and among the ruling Democrats, over whether McChrystal’s recent request for additional forces can turn the tide or will drag the US deeper in to a mire. Obama has said that he will not send more soldiers until there is an effective counterinsurgency strategy in place and there is a general recognition that requires an Afghan government that has the support of the people.

McChrystal, in a report to the Pentagon leaked to the Washington Post this week, says that pervasive corruption and incompetence, along with the failure to protect the civilian population, has severely undermined confidence in the government. That has been compounded by Karzai’s fraud-tainted re-election last month.

The former president, Bill Clinton, said this week that things are “teetering” in Afghanistan and that Obama would be wise to hold off from committing more troops until the question of the disputed presidential election is resolved. In Kabul, a sense of deep gloom and foreboding about the future of western engagement has settled on many diplomats.

The diplomats say that the fiasco surrounding Afghanistan’s presidential election has, in the words of one official, “destroyed Obama’s Afghanistan strategy at the first hurdle”. Karzai is also being blamed by many ordinary Afghans for unpopular Nato airstrikes in which civilians are killed.

“In Afghanistan realities often drown out wishful thinking and the election has brought corruption and legitimacy to the forefront of concerns,” says one of the city’s most experienced foreign observers. “All the options are bad, I simply can’t see a way out.”

McChrystal believes the tide can be turned by redeploying Nato troops to protect and interact with Afghans, so they are not seen as an occupation force, which will help bolster the government alongside cleaning up corruption and more effective administration. Colonel James Helis of the US Army War College said that however the issue of troop deployments is resolved, it is crucial that a new counterinsurgency strategy focus on building support for the government.

“One of the challenges we’ve faced in Afghanistan over the years is under-resourcing, not just of troops but the overall effort. That’s pretty well accepted now. That policy’s shifting and that opens up the question: how do we now approach it? What’s a higher priority for more resources?” he said.

“Clearly in counterinsurgency one of your priorities is protecting the population and success is going to be reached when the population sides conclusively, firmly, with the government as opposed to the insurgents or being in a fence sitting mode. If you’ve got to protect the population you’ve got to be interacting with, providing assistance to the population and to the government.”

“Winning the campaign means the government has earned the support of the people. the people have chosen the government over the insurgents.

“That’s a definition of success. So part of the counterinsurgency campaign has got to be fulfilling the capacity of the government so it can provide services and protection to the populace, as well as building the credibility of the government.”

Michael Semple, an influential former European diplomat expelled from Afghanistan in 2007, said that the US became involved in state-building in the first place “because without it, intervention in the country made no sense”.

“International security requires stability in Afghanistan. Stability requires a basic effective government, in charge of its own security and with democratic mechanisms to give all Afghans a stake in the system.

“These objectives are still worthwhile and attainable. But progress will require a rethink of US political strategy. While the US has been active militarily it has been passive politically, without a strategy to cope with crises like the election farce. Progress in Afghanistan requires long-term commitment, backed up with more politics rather than more drones.”

Opinion is divided in Washington. Democratic leaders have come out against sending more troops to Afghanistan, saying there is no public support for the move and that the Afghan army must take up a greater share of the combat.

The vice-president, Joe Biden, has proposed a drawing down of the effort in Afghanistan because al-Qaida forces have now largely moved to Pakistan, saying the military’s focus should be there. But the US secretary of state, Hillary Clinton, has warned that would open up Afghanistan to al-Qaida again.

One top Democrat has broken ranks with sceptics among the party’s leaders by warning Obama against half measures.

“The last administration allowed itself to be distracted from the fight forced on us in Afghanistan by the fight it chose in Iraq,” the chairman of the House armed services committee, Ike Skelton, said in a letter to the president. “I believe that this was a strategic mistake … resulting in an approach of ‘half-ass it and hope’… We cannot afford to continue that policy.”

UN officials are acutely aware that public support among the country’ss main western backers is eroding.

Next week, at the UN security council in New York, the organisation’s special representative in Afghanistan, Kai Eide, will warn that the country cannot rely on indefinite foreign support forever and that the next government will have to take urgent steps to crack down on corruption and deliver basic services to people in order to win back the support of both ordinary Afghans, but also western publics.

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